Martin Armstrong is an economic forecaster with a successful track record and bases his forecasts on a very complex forecasting algorithm which uses many input parameters including solar radiance and historical data since 6000 years BCE (before common era). He has identified many cycles in human behaviour and natural phenomena and for a period of time incurred the more than attentive interest of the US government when he refused to release the computer code of his forecasting software.
On the 18th of March he posted a question “Are we headed back to an ice age” in which he noticed that when he “input the energy output of the sun and then correlated that into our database back to 6000BC” a ~300 year cycle matched up with the rise and fall of empires, nations and city states.
The climate change brigade would, I suspect, explain this correlation as being due to humanity’s behaviour. Armstrong on the other hand interprets it the other way round, that our human cycles of rises and falls of human activity are being driven by the sun’s cycles, and that we are, like it or not, at the mercy of Nature.
Perhaps. As Ice ages are also associated species mass extinctions, and extinctions are essentially geologically catastrophic events, then I doubt we headed for an ice-age per se, but perhaps a period of cooling but, then, who knows?
One thing that is clear from Armstrong’s data is that human behaviour is more likely driven, or forced as the word is these days, by the solar cycle, and hence earthly weather and climate, then humans driving climate. And it may well be that our current population explosion is but a reaction to last global climate catastrophe, one that seems to have occurred early in the first millennium during this current era. After all, species that experience episodic catastrophic reductions in population numbers compensate by having population explosions during the aftermath, to ensure sufficient numbers remain to survive the next global catastrophe.