Maunder Moanings

I was not aware Armstrong Economics tracks climate, or weather, phenomena with their forecasting algorithms, along with every other relevant economic variable. This makes sense because weather does affect agricultural production and hence the economy.

And their attitude towards the climate science community is also interesting, as the linked article shows. And their forecasts are suggesting we are headed towards another Maunder Minimum, or a period of minimum sunspots during which agricultural production was seriously affected. Except that one needs to remember what latitude one might be living at on the Earth’s surface.

Armstrong Economics also ventures into geological ideas noting that during the 17th century there was an increase in global volcanic activity, more El Nino events and the absence of sunspots.

Now physically one might conclude that the lack of sunspots is an indicator of cooler temperatures, supported by the colder weather and the freezing up of various rivers and water-ways, but how could this then increase volcanic eruptions or increase the number of El Nino events?

But read the whole article on the Armstrong Blog – and make sure you live in an environmentally sustainable location when it is forecast to hit the fan. Me? I’m looking at coal and petroleum theory and the commodity of the day, oil-shale origins.

About Louis Hissink

Retired diamond exploration geologist. I spent my professional life looking for mineral deposits, found some, and also located a number of kimberlites in NSW and Western Australia. Exploration geology is the closest one can get to practicing the scientific method, mineral exploration always being concerned with finding anomalous geophysical or geochemical data, framing a model and explanation for the anomaly and then testing it with drilling or excavation. All scientific theories are ultimately false since they invariably involved explaining something with incomplete extant knowledge. Since no one is omniscient or knows everything, so too scientific theories which are solely limited to existing knowledge. Because the future always yields new data, scientific theories must change to be compatible with the new data. Thus a true scientist is never in love with any particular theory, always knowing that when the facts change, so too must he/she change their minds.
This entry was posted in Catastrophism, Climate Change and tagged . Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to Maunder Moanings

  1. tempestnut says:

    Perhaps people are reading too much into sunspots and what they can cause, and not understanding that they may just be a reaction to an electric phenomena that is pulling all the strings and controlling everything. Is it that people are blinded by correlations and have forgotten how to seek understanding.

    I see all the time people who are correct to be sceptical of CO2 induced climate change, yet to me their explanations as to why it is wrong is just as wrong headed. Just as well most engineering still lives in the real world or we would be in even deeper poo as a society.

    Like

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